If you take CO as an example, which was wildly and incorrectly hyped this is likely what you will see.
For 0pt - 2 pt units/ tags, odds will get a little worse or stay stagnant, it will depend on the unit and it's issues.
For the 3-6pt units there will be a steady increase, as the same pool of people put it for the same tag, same 1pt increase has been happening for years.
High end units will be erratic, there aren't a lot of tags so the strategies of just a few individuals can have a massive effect. Some units will have huge point creep as people burn points to get out of the game, some units might have massive point reduction, as a bunch of folks get tired of applying without drawing and bail. Hard to say or predict with any accuracy.