Poll: How many OIL tags have you Drawn in the Last 20 years of Applying

Poll: How many OIL tags have you Drawn in the Last 10 years of Applying

  • 0

    Votes: 97 48.3%
  • 1

    Votes: 45 22.4%
  • 2

    Votes: 30 14.9%
  • 3

    Votes: 16 8.0%
  • 4

    Votes: 13 6.5%

  • Total voters
    201

PoleX

Well-known member
Joined
Mar 1, 2025
Messages
328
The questionable math equations on the Montana MSG thread got me thinking, I'd be interested in knowing some real numbers. As Buzz likes to say, excel sheets lie...

POLL: How many OIL tags have you drawn in the last 10 years of applying.

Really simple rules:

1. I'd be nice if you have applied for at least 3 difficult tags/year for at least 8 of the last 10 years to participate, raffle tags count too. 2015ish-This year to keep it relevant, you can move the range a couple years but preferably a 10 year stretch post 2000.
2. Successful on a 2% or less draw odds for the tag (any species). Basically any tag you had no business drawing. If you don't know how to calculate this properly just make an educated guess.
3. Post up a picture of the animal, year you drew if you'd like.


Good luck in the draws, still some time left to pull a tag!
 
Past 10 years:

1. Every year NM Oryx, less than 2% odds. Drew 1, 1 for 10
2. Every year NM Bighorn, 0 for 10
3. Every year NM OIL Ibex, 0 for 10
4. 3 years for McGregor Barbary, drew 1 (.6% odds), 1 for 3
5. 4 years of NM Goulds, 0 for 4
5. AZ Bighorn for 8 years, 0 for 8
6. AZ Gould's for 8 years, 0 for 8
7. AZ Rifle Rut Elk for 8 years, 0 for 8
8. AZ Rifle Pronghorn for 8 years, 0 for 8
6. CO Desert Bighorn 3 years, 0 for 3
7. I'll say probably 6 to 10 raffles, 0 there

So overall in the last 10 years, 2 tags with less than 2% odds out of ~80 apps. Which crazy enough, works out to about 2% success odds. lol
 
Last edited:
Drawn 4 since 2015 (last 10 years).

Wyoming moose in 2015 drew with preference points:

DSC00872.JPG


Wyoming sheep 2019 drew with preference points:

IMG_3277%20_2_.JPG


Wyoming moose, 2021 random tag:

IMG_4507.JPG


Montana sheep 2024, one less than max points:

IMG_2303.jpg


Prior to that:

Montana moose in 1995.
Montana mountain goat 1998.
AK Muskox, can't remember what year, but last year they gave trophy tags out of Shishmaref
Arizona desert sheep in 2012
NM Oryx can't remember but 2010ish?

I don't count any elk, deer, or pronghorn tags.
 
Last edited:
Drawn 4 since 2015 (last 10 years).

Wyoming moose in 2015 drew with preference points:

DSC00872.JPG


Wyoming sheep 2019 drew with preference points:

IMG_3277%20_2_.JPG


Wyoming moose, 2021 random tag:

IMG_4507.JPG


Montana sheep 2024, one less than max points:

IMG_2303.jpg

Don't count if you the draw odds were more than 2%. Preference draws are 100%. LOL
 
Going back 10 years as originally asked;

2018 AK

IMG_3187.jpeg


2018 Utah

IMG_3291.jpeg

2021 AZ

IMG_5865.jpeg

2021 AZ Goulds

62E95C5D-E4C1-4763-8892-DDB135CA8BD9.jpeg


2023 I used my 23 Utah elk points to help a buddy draw a 20 point unit.


2025 Raffle Nunavut

IMG_3515.jpeg


2026 TBD

Lots of years, lots of points, and lots of raffle tickets.

Going back 20 years I can add 2006 late November Kaibab rifle, 2007 Colorado archery bighorn and a premium AZ archery elk tag after using my points on a late rifle hunt the year prior.
 
Last edited:
Mt 652 buck tag will be oil I’ll never apply for that again got it around 2018 before they added the tags I think around 4%

Utah deer 2020 around 4%

New Mexico 2022 audad around 3%

Idaho LE last year around 5%

As far as the big 3 game I’ll apply for moose in 4 states this year with less that a percent of drawing. I’d wager I have a about a 90% chance of killing one in the 5th state I’ll just buy the license in
 
Mt 652 buck tag will be oil I’ll never apply for that again got it around 2018 before they added the tags I think around 4%

Utah deer 2020 around 4%

New Mexico 2022 audad around 3%

Idaho LE last year around 5%

As far as the big 3 game I’ll apply for moose in 4 states this year with less that a percent of drawing. I’d wager I have a about a 90% chance of killing one in the 5th state I’ll just buy the license in
I wasn’t the only one who got suckered into applying for 652. 😂. Cool place to hunt but a major letdown for quality. Too many tags. I also drew in 2018.
 
Last 10 Years: 3 For Me & 1 for my wife. Putting in for tags all across the west for the past ~15 years. With that said, the majority have come from NM on random/no point draws.
2026: NM Antelope
2020: NM Ibex
IMG_4657.JPEG

2016: MT Bighorn (Me & Wife)
Mine:
IMG_20161015_171806954.jpg
Wife's:
IMG_20160915_161252042.jpg

Prior to 2016:
2012 NM Desert Sheep
DSC_0513.JPG
2008: MT Moose
2008 Moose 031.jpg
 
Last edited:

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
119,436
Messages
2,226,615
Members
38,903
Latest member
CrystalWatersParadiseRa
Back
Top