I've only been applying for 5 years now so not as long of history as some. I keep track of every application I've applied for and the GoHunt odds for the correct year (not the prior year to estimate your odds).
I apply for enough random or weighted random tags that I'm bound to get lucky at some point. Prior to this year, I would have said I've been unlucky with my best pull beating the odds was Montana archery antelope at 35%. However, this year I pulled a late archery New Mexico mule deer tag that had a 1.3% chance of drawing last year. I also pulled a Montana rifle antelope tag that I'm guessing will be around 25% chance of drawing. At the same time, I had a 50.5% chance (both random and preference) of drawing a Wyoming General elk tag that I did not get. I probably would have traded the 1.3% New Mexico mule deer tag for the 50.5% Wyoming elk tag, if that was possible.
I apply for enough random or weighted random tags that I'm bound to get lucky at some point. Prior to this year, I would have said I've been unlucky with my best pull beating the odds was Montana archery antelope at 35%. However, this year I pulled a late archery New Mexico mule deer tag that had a 1.3% chance of drawing last year. I also pulled a Montana rifle antelope tag that I'm guessing will be around 25% chance of drawing. At the same time, I had a 50.5% chance (both random and preference) of drawing a Wyoming General elk tag that I did not get. I probably would have traded the 1.3% New Mexico mule deer tag for the 50.5% Wyoming elk tag, if that was possible.
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