Which western states have been disproportionately good to you in drawing tags?

Which western states have been disproportionately good to you in the drawings?

  • Alaska

    Votes: 4 8.3%
  • Arizona

    Votes: 8 16.7%
  • Colorado

    Votes: 8 16.7%
  • Idaho

    Votes: 7 14.6%
  • Montana

    Votes: 9 18.8%
  • New Mexico

    Votes: 10 20.8%
  • Nevada

    Votes: 6 12.5%
  • Utah

    Votes: 5 10.4%
  • Wyoming

    Votes: 18 37.5%
  • Other

    Votes: 1 2.1%

  • Total voters
    48
I've only been applying for 5 years now so not as long of history as some. I keep track of every application I've applied for and the GoHunt odds for the correct year (not the prior year to estimate your odds).

I apply for enough random or weighted random tags that I'm bound to get lucky at some point. Prior to this year, I would have said I've been unlucky with my best pull beating the odds was Montana archery antelope at 35%. However, this year I pulled a late archery New Mexico mule deer tag that had a 1.3% chance of drawing last year. I also pulled a Montana rifle antelope tag that I'm guessing will be around 25% chance of drawing. At the same time, I had a 50.5% chance (both random and preference) of drawing a Wyoming General elk tag that I did not get. I probably would have traded the 1.3% New Mexico mule deer tag for the 50.5% Wyoming elk tag, if that was possible.
 
I have been playing the draw game since 2013. Have not drawn anything with less than 60% odds and I lived in Ak for 6 of those years. My dad on the other hand has drawn Ak bison first time applying and 3 Gila elk tags in the last 20 years.
 
I hesitate to say disproportionate, but AZ has been really good to me. Have drawn 4 rifle bull tags, 5 late coues, desert sheep, a ton of javelin tags.

AK gave me a musk ox tag my first try

Montana I've drawn moose, sheep, goat, 2 rifle breaks tags, and one good deer permit.

Wyoming I've drawn 2 bull moose, sheep, dozens of good pronghorn, 4 good elk tags.

But, considering the number of years and total applications, not really all that lucky.

The 2 states that hate me are Utah and Nevada...no tags in either.
 
I hesitate to say disproportionate, but AZ has been really good to me. Have drawn 4 rifle bull tags, 5 late coues, desert sheep, a ton of javelin tags.

AK gave me a musk ox tag my first try

Montana I've drawn moose, sheep, goat, 2 rifle breaks tags, and one good deer permit.

Wyoming I've drawn 2 bull moose, sheep, dozens of good pronghorn, 4 good elk tags.

But, considering the number of years and total applications, not really all that lucky.

The 2 states that hate me are Utah and Nevada...no tags in either.
And here I was literally thinking Buzz needs to answer this...lol
 
If we are talking about tags that were not influenced by bonus/preference points, New Mexico for me. 2 antelope tags, 1 deer tag, and a gemsbok tag as a non-resident.
 
Resident or not, Montana has been good to me with a sheep, moose, and 2 mountain goat tags. Bighorn tag in Idaho as a non resident. Time to find out how good Wyoming is.
 
I'm ashamed to admitting my good fortune in NM. But here goes, 3 exceptional elk tags, 2 antelope tags, 1 pretty good mulie tag, 1 OIL oryx. Since 2018. Sorry guys! The system loves me! But we won't talk about all the years I drew nothing.
 

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