Moosie, Prob ( A or B ) = Prob (A) + Prob(B) - Prob (A and B), ever study that?
Prob (A and B) = Prob (A)* Prob(B) if A and B are independent.
A=getting drawn last year, he said it was 0.7 prob.
B=getting drawn this year, I guess it might stay the same. 0.7, who knows?
So, if he applies the same, he's got a 0.91 chance of getting drawn last year or this year. We already know he didn't get drawn last year and we already know he was unlucky. He'll probably be an unlucky one again eh? I hope not. You gotta get drawn sometime, When they draw, someone gets drawn, no doubt about it.
Good luck on your drawn tag, wherever it is, whenever it is. You better find that out. What did you put in there for anyway?