Anybody Buying Yet? Where’s the Bottom?

[SAJ-99]

Believe I heard the other day that we are paying more for the interest on the debt than we are for the entire military, or medicare, or Social security outlays.

And rates aren’t really even that high. At least not high enough for the average American to buy a 5yr bond and feel good about it. Dip-buying in equities is the new normal. This whole thing could go arse over tit in a heartbeat. Welcome to the job Kevin Warsh.

 

[Bonasababy]

Scary stuff. Nowhere near enough regulations or safety measures in place. AI risk goes way up because of stuff like this--at least investing in individual stocks.

https://www.reuters.com/world/how-texas-student-blew-whistle-rogue-ai-hacking-attempt-2026-08-20/

 

[PoleX]

I’m trimming a little on chips and YOLOing into SaaS.

Nice day in SaaS. I’m pleased with my analysis from June.

 

[jryoung]

Nice day in SaaS. I’m pleased with my analysis from June.

Made a similar move, picked up some NOW but hesitated on INTU. Don't think I'll be doing too much until the midterms.

 

[Sytes]

Still fitting farrr beyond what I expected. Bound to be a correction to prompt some great flush of $.

What was it when the crickets chirped for the sky is falling crowd? I suppose i could look it up though I doubt chicken Littles are complaining, looking at their $... I don't mind eating shoe leather though I've put up my $ pre... inclusive of inflation , this market is on fire.

Reality: extremists place farrr too much belief a single President will alter the mammoth whales that keep the "Green Machine" rolling. Sure some crap may play a few points AND what does that equate to? BUYING opportunities!

I care not who is President. The current dumbo or the potential jackass that takes his place... again the Market is far greater, globally than the chicken Littles seek to portray.

 

[Jack Ryan]

As long as the government decides how much and when to print money and the rich people control the government, the bias in the stock market is going to be up 2 out of 3 days or better.

Individual companies may vary with in the market just as individual people's success will vary with in a society. It doesn't mean an economy is tanking any more than seeing a homeless bum on the street means an entire society is a failure.

 

[SAJ-99]

Cue the “But it will create NEW jobs…” defense.

 

[Nick87]

Cue the “But it will create NEW jobs…” defense.

View attachment 416199

Data centers are definitely a big thing.I wonder what they consider general office?

 

[SAJ-99]

Data centers are definitely a big thing.I wonder what they consider general office?

Square buildings where people work, I guess. I’m sure it is a broad category. I know they put Healthcare in its own bucket.

 

[Nick87]

Square buildings where people work, I guess. I’m sure it is a broad category. I know they put Healthcare in its own bucket.

Yah i figured as much, is that distribution centers, stores, etc? Don't remember the last time I was on an actual office complex. Especially with all the work from home shift the last few years.

 

[Exhausted]

Yah i figured as much, is that distribution centers, stores, etc? Don't remember the last time I was on an actual office complex. Especially with all the work from home shift the last few years.

From my perspective in finance, there is still an enormous amount of general office vacancy associated with Covid-19. A material percentage of people never went back to working from the office, and companies also downsized and consolidated office space.

 

[Nick87]

From my perspective in finance, there is still an enormous amount of general office vacancy associated with Covid-19. A material percentage of people never went back to working from the office, and companies also downsized and consolidated office space.

Yes, we've been on several projects where we've been demoing them and replacing them with data centers, distribution centers, hospitals, etc.

 

[SAJ-99]

From my perspective in finance, there is still an enormous amount of general office vacancy associated with Covid-19. A material percentage of people never went back to working from the office, and companies also downsized and consolidated office space.

I'm sure @Treeshark is outraged at the WFH slackers.
The lack of hiring is real, even though I keep hearing people say they are not seeing AI take jobs.

 

[Blue Steel]

In what I do I've been seeing what appears to be an increase in people getting handed separation agreements these past few months, due to "job elimination". The timing seems unusual from years past, as to when employers would traditionally make cuts (such as, before end of a quarter, or before end of year -- happy holidays -- when the algos big employers use, indicate that not enough employees quit during the year as predicted). But I also think some of these employers more recently cutting, within a few months of doing so, realize they actually need certain roles so they hire back.

 

[Bonasababy]

In what I do I've been seeing what appears to be an increase in people getting handed separation agreements these past few months, due to "job elimination". The timing seems unusual from years past, as to when employers would traditionally make cuts (such as, before end of a quarter, or before end of year -- happy holidays -- when the algos big employers use, indicate that not enough employees quit during the year as predicted). But I also think some of these employers more recently cutting, within a few months of doing so, realize they actually need certain roles so they hire back.

Separation or retirment? Lots of the latter as the last of the boomer pull the plug.

 

[Blue Steel]

Separation or retirment? Lots of the latter as the last of the boomer pull the plug.

Separation, people making into the six figures, between ages 35 and 55, not retiring unfortunately.

 

[SAJ-99]

Separation, people making into the six figures, between ages 35 and 55, not retiring unfortunately.

I might have missed it, so I apologize in advance. What is it that you do?

 

[Blue Steel]

I might have missed it, so I apologize in advance. What is it that you do?

Rather prefer to not out myself and get doxxed! Not in public sector however.