I wish there would have been ‘freestyle’ comments available for that one. It works, the math is for all effective purposes the same as true bonus points. Most people are never going to draw MSG in their lifetime no matter what scheme is deployed, and it's demonstrably true that folks with more weighted points draw tags at higher rates.
Statistics and probability are hard.
If I could go back 24 years, I'd have a hard chat with the guy that came up with the 'tile reversal/divisor' model. While the math is commendable and all, and
I have to imagine that was the only method the draw technology at the time could accommodate, it's just so much harder from a PR perspective to explain that system to 'consumers' instead of 'extra ticket in the hat every year' that you end up here - with the handful of applicants with 20+ weighted points getting riled to the point where we all get survey questions trying to change something that isn't broken.
I think
@Sandbrew may have a link. It used to be on WSF's page, but the link I had is dead.
Here is a link to the most recent HT thread discussing it and he shares links in post 15:
https://www.hunttalk.com/threads/do-colorado-weighted-points-make-a-difference.307366/