Randy,
With all due respect, your post makes no sense to me what so ever. Point systems and the resource have no direct correlation whatsoever other than maybe the point system might raise additional funds that could be used to support the resource. Emphasizing “maybe” in that last statement. Are you implying the point systems are responsible for the declining resource? I see no way that imposition is logical.
Point systems were put in place in all there various forms as a way for folks to stand in line for the various draw systems. It’s that simple. In theory there would be benefits to this- able to plan when you draw, more fair allocation of tags etc,etc. if anyone ever thought it would create more critters or help the resource, well I see no logic to this.
What’s funny to me in your rant is you completely ignore the demand side of the equation and focus on the supply. Is that because you were one of the pioneers of “the movement” that has got us to where we are today with demand? Maybe I’m out to lunch but most of the point schemes that everyone says are broken are functioning just as they were intended to. The systems just never were intended to handle the demand that now exists or even existed when they were put in place(a specific few instances)
It’s easy to say the point systems only benefit “old gray haired men like yourself” and that they are “broken”, and that they should be trashed but that completely dismisses the fact some people have been standing in “line” for a really long time. I don’t think telling them tough luck is what a fair society does. It’s not what I do when I go to Walmart Saturday afternoon.
If we want to talk about expanding the resource, that’s a different conversation. Blaming the point systems for anything resource related is mis-placed blame in my opinion. If we want to talk about the point systems and “fixing them”. we need to be honest about why they “failed” - overwhelming demand
I'm not blaming the point systems for the diminishing resource, which I think we agree resource is the supply side of this equation. The cause of lowered "supply" is habitat and our management strategies. not point systems.
Point systems are focused more on demand, ways to slice and dice the demand, and ways to give some in the demand pool a leg up over others in the demand pool. Thus, discussions about point systems will almost always focus on the demand side and manipulating that demand. I was interjecting that there is more to it than just demand, thus my comments on supply (management and habitat).
I am of the opinion that when we adopt these systems, or start to trick them out with new ideas, it takes our focus from the core problems of "supply," which I feel are habitat and management strategies, and it gives us a false sense that these new schemes and tweaks are doing something to solve these bigger problem.
Point systems don't solve the issue of competition for hunting opportunity (supply), regardless of demand, a demand that has been growing across the west since before I made my first non-resident application in Colorado in 1995, has continued to grow, and will likely continue to grow long after I'm in the dirt.
The point systems were promoted as ways to help with increased demand that states were seeing, however incorrect that sales pitch was at the time. Everyone of these systems were brought forth as a supposed solution to the demand-supply curve. Even in the late 80s and 90s, when many of these systems were designed, it was shown that with demand and supply curves going opposite directions, the outcome would be what we have today. And predictably, the response continues to be tweaking these systems, channeling demand to the benefit of a smaller and smaller section of the demand pool, without focusing on core supply side issues of habitat and management.
I'm not blaming the point systems for resource issues. And I'm not just focusing on supply or demand. Both supply and demand have went in opposite directions since these systems started. The tweaks that are the subject of these threads seem to focus on demand and ignore supply, thus me interjecting that supply plays a big part in this. I'm stating that if demand for western hunting continues the direction it has in my adult lifetime, all the tweaks and schemes in the world will have no net benefit if we ignore the supply side that is driven by habitat and management.
The demand side has grown significantly in my decades of applying. Both resident and non-resident demand. Non-resident demand for tags is not capped, though actual tag numbers for
most NR hunts is capped. The combined result of less NR supply and higher NR demand reduces drawing odds for non-residents. Nothing unexpected there.
Resident demand has increased dramatically in many western states. Just a function of population growth these states are seeing. Resident tags are often not capped. When we have shrinking supply and growing resident demand, that is going to cause residents to look toward reducing NR supply (tags) as a way to improve their situation. A function of the state-based system and the political realities that NRs can't vote.
Your final statement that these systems have failed "due to overwhelming demand" correctly highlights that demand is part of this, yet does discounts the supply side of the equation and does not acknowledge that the systems were destined to fail from the beginning, if success is defined as improving the odds of getting a tag (improved odds was pitched by many as what point system solved and is still the pitch when folks don't draw in ID, AK, or NM).
When the system started in Colorado demand was already exceeding supply; thus the pressure "to do something." Demand was accelerating while supply was decreasing, creating a gap, a gap that has grown most every year, even in a state that issues a lot of tags. The gap of accelerating demand and decreasing supply is not solved with point systems.
None of the frustration expressed today is a surprise to anyone who was looking at numbers then, or who was looking at numbers along the way. And anyone looking at the numbers today will quickly see the future; that being when the 50-80% of folks who are double digit "point buyers" actually start applying for what is an even smaller supply, each year will have wider and wider delta between demand and supply. The delta between supply and demand was there when systems started and every indicator then was that the delta would to grow and every indicator for the future is that it will continue to grow.
One factor I don't know how to calculate, but I've seen it happen time and time again, is the fact that point systems cause a mindset of "I better apply so I don't miss out or so I don't get further behind." Great for state wildlife budgets and application services who will provide the point buying service for clients, but to some degree it creates its own inherent demand. When a state goes to a point system, or changes the point system that incentivizes more point accumulation, we see even more people make sure they get into that system.
None of this is going away with changes and tweaks. Demand will continue to increase as it always has (though
@wllm has made a case that it will reach a point that the decreasing value proposition will cause demand to flatten). An increased, even stable, supply will result in better outcomes, for both residents or non-residents.