Full disclosure, I think we should provide aid regardless.
That being said...
From the stand point of increased US market share it doesn't matter if Russia sells oil to India. Brass tacks it's not really oil so much as Gas. US LNG to Europe instead of Russian gas. This is a 5-50 year outlook, not next month... but there is no doubt in my mind that Europe is going to look for other sources of NG, 2021 it was absolutely coming from Russia... now, not so much.
It's also about future trade deals, stronger relationships with European partners, increased influence at the UN... etc etc.
What we do now has ripple effects that will last decades. Look at post WWII Europe as an extreme example, and the bonanza in the US economy.
It's also a safety thing, Russia funds our enemies... Russia lost the Moskva... tons of tanks, helicopters, planes, troops. Likely for every 1 dollar we spend they are losing 10 or 100. Those are dollars that could be spent on building infrastructure to attack the United States.
Regardless of morals... this is the easiest foreign policy decision in 50 years.
100 Billion I'm still in.