CoHunter1991
Well-known member
- Joined
- Jan 18, 2021
- Messages
- 511
I got my elk email last year at around 6PM.... dont give upThe activity level seems to be falling off. Looks like tomorrow will elk.![]()
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I got my elk email last year at around 6PM.... dont give upThe activity level seems to be falling off. Looks like tomorrow will elk.![]()
Don't threaten me with antelope tomorrow, it has to be elk.I guess lope is tomorrow. I got my bonus point email for deer but nothing for lope on a tag I have far more points than needed to draw
Wow. I thought some people were being over dramatic about the point creep thing for this year but I guess they were right. I had 11 deer points and my son had 12. Unit we wanted showed historically anything over 9 was a lock. Checked Go Hunt "predictive odds" and even that said anything over 10 would be a lock. So like a dum ass I didn't even bother applying as a party. He got it and I didn't. Now I'm gonna have to turn his tag in and try again next year.
Why not hunt it together with your sons tag this year and get the intel to then hunt it even better when you should draw it next year?Wow. I thought some people were being over dramatic about the point creep thing for this year but I guess they were right. I had 11 deer points and my son had 12. Unit we wanted showed historically anything over 9 was a lock. Checked Go Hunt "predictive odds" and even that said anything over 10 would be a lock. So like a dum ass I didn't even bother applying as a party. He got it and I didn't. Now I'm gonna have to turn his tag in and try again next year.
Was thinking the same thing, I can only check email and bank account so many times in one day.I’m going to bed
This!Why not hunt it together with your sons tag this year and get the intel to then hunt it even better when you should draw it next year?
X2, point creep being what it is you may never draw that tag. Hunt the tag with your son.Hunt his tag. You may never draw that tag.
I predict there will be a lot of disappointed folks like yourself planning a hunt off of Gohunts predictive odds.Wow. I thought some people were being over dramatic about the point creep thing for this year but I guess they were right. I had 11 deer points and my son had 12. Unit we wanted showed historically anything over 9 was a lock. Checked Go Hunt "predictive odds" and even that said anything over 10 would be a lock. So like a dum ass I didn't even bother applying as a party. He got it and I didn't. Now I'm gonna have to turn his tag in and try again next year.
Gohunt predicted the elk tag I drew in Wyoming with 8 points this year would have 4% odds to draw with 8. I could tell looking at the past app numbers that couldn’t be right. We applied as a group of 4 and drew it with 8. I want to think those predictive odds from GoHunt actually pushed people at our point level away from applying.I predict there will be a lot of disappointed folks like yourself planning a hunt off of Gohunts predictive odds.
The funny thing is how confident they were out of the gate with 95% confidence. Little do they realize that adding predictive odds creates a new variable that has to be accounted for when predicting the odds.
Case in point.Gohunt predicted the elk tag I drew in Wyoming with 8 points this year would have 4% odds to draw with 8. I could tell looking at the past app numbers that couldn’t be right. We applied as a group of 4 and drew it with 8. I want to think those predictive odds from GoHunt actually pushed people at our point level away from applying.
I woke up to respond to this, I know who’s gonna win the World Series this year. If all you guys wanna give me $100 right now I’ll confirm it for you after the first 3 games are played!Case in point.
Good for you, using it to your advantage. I challenged both chris porter and brandon evans of gohunt about their way of predicting the odds. Brandon was respectful and we had a productive conversation. Although I strongly disagree, Chris porter got reactive and hostile to the idea of Predictive odds not working.
"All models are wrong, some are useful".Case in point.
Good for you, using it to your advantage. I challenged both chris porter and brandon evans of gohunt about their way of predicting the odds. Brandon was respectful and we had a productive conversation. Although I strongly disagree, Chris porter got reactive and hostile to the idea of Predictive odds not working.