There are ~137,000 ish NR elk hunters. I can almost guarantee no one who applies for elk out of state doesn't also apply for Mule deer, pronghorn and MSG as well (or vice versa). So I think we can safely use 137,000 as the top end for people who would gain by Fed ownership, in terms of draw systems. That's also likely our max pool of traveling US hunters. Maybe a bit bigger for your including folks who go from CO to WY to hunt pronghorn or CT to NY for deer, but in terms of the folks that are playing the points game and traveling around lots... absolutely Max at 137,000 people.
There are ~670,000 resident elk hunters, that's probably the number of "vested incumbents" per your comment.
The other 14 MM hunting license holders are chasing birds or whitetails and could probably give a chit, likely they would only care so far as they like or dislike the fed doing anything.
In the context of US the western big game conversation is very pretty niche.
CO total NR sheep applications =9,000
WY total NR sheep applications = 2,587
Total NR who hunt Alaska every year (for anything) = ~9,000
There are literally more people who follow Ralph Macchio on instagram than who go elk hunting or likely care about elk hunting.
We need to improve the well and stop bickering about the pump. Make a system that everyone can live with it and move on.
And buy some more freaking sheep tags from
@Oak