Anybody Buying Yet? Where’s the Bottom?

I think we've shown pretty clearly that, "Just don't do XXXXX thing." is not always effective guidance for addicts. If we can't agree that there are addictions associated with high sugar, high fat foods then we'll have to agree to disagree I guess.
Government intervention isn't going to help. mtmuley
 
Back to stocks.

I'm thinking 30 day puts on SPCX @120.00 $395 premium and no disappointment if put. Anybody else care to bet that at the very least this is back up to $130 within 60 days?
 
Like subsidized crops that lead to ultra processed foods?
You're really trying to make people angry at me aren't you? LOL

Yeah, honestly my gut reaction is to do away with government subsidies to industries that would fail otherwise. I'm generally a big fan of free market without government intervention.
 
Back to stocks.

I'm thinking 30 day puts on SPCX @120.00 $395 premium and no disappointment if put. Anybody else care to bet that at the very least this is back up to $130 within 60 days?
It’s trading at $134 so …
As long as you are happy and able to own it at $120. Otherwise it’s a risky way to make $400.

Wally World showing even it is having trouble in this economy. And proving valuation matters.
 
It’s trading at $134 so …
As long as you are happy and able to own it at $120. Otherwise, it’s a risky way to make $400.

Wally World showing even it is having trouble in this economy. And proving valuation matters.
Yes. Happy and able to own it at $120. I did notice WMT today. It took a nosedive after it reported earnings. I think it too is oversold. I have conviction that if SPCX hits 120 it will increase 10% well before WMT increases 10%. I am betting that the put expires worthless within 30 days or that it hits 120 or less and recovers to 134 within 60. for a 16% return in 60 days. Of course it could go South.
 
It’s trading at $134 so …
As long as you are happy and able to own it at $120. Otherwise it’s a risky way to make $400.

Wally World showing even it is having trouble in this economy. And proving valuation matters.
Seriously, tough day across the board consumer staples down as a whole. Defensive isn't so defensive.

Would love your thoughts on the bond market and what does the fed do now with treasury's move yesterday.
 
Would love your thoughts on the bond market and what does the fed do now with treasury's move yesterday.
Market took it all back when Bessent said the amount would be $4b. That is nothing. And certainly not enough to get people/hedge funds to buy treasuries with the hope the government will buy more and they can make some money. Simple fact is the US treasury doesn’t have any money (debt up $3T yoy) and other decisions have made a bad monetary situation worse. $1 of every $3 in income taxes collected goes to pay interest on the debt.

Treasury is stepping on Fed’s toes at this point. Bessent needs Warsh to cut rates to gain money off the short end. I look for ways this could work somehow, but it’s hard to see. The dollar has to weaken and the market buyers have to allow it without blowing out rates.
 
Believe I heard the other day that we are paying more for the interest on the debt than we are for the entire military, or medicare, or Social security outlays.
 
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