Yeti

WWYD? Point Creep Strategy?

TexAg09

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Joined
Nov 18, 2015
Messages
315
Location
Central Texas
I'm looking to cash in some elk points next season, but I'm already planning now for scouting and logistics purposes. There is a limited quota unit I'm really interested in that currently has a 100% draw odds with 6 points, and around 50% at less than 6. I'll have 6 points next year. If I put that as my first choice and a general tag as my second choice I have 0% chance for a second choice general tag if I don't get my first choice. I'm sure some of you can figure out this unit, but I hate guys that blast spots on message boards haha.

So my question is would you gamble and hope the unit stays at 6 points or move on and spend your time scouting other units? Thanks!
 
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rmyoung1

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Jul 12, 2010
Messages
1,926
I’d take a look back the last few years and try to gain an idea of the trend. If the point creep rate is 0.25 points/year, for example, I’d feel comfortable applying. (Of course, massive changes in allocation, tag price increases, or a million other things can monkey with point creep trajectory from year to year.)
 

DougStickney

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Feb 10, 2022
Messages
742
With the apps out there with filtering I would stop talking right now. Add on top of that the fear nonresidents are getting the boot from Wyoming it sets up for a good chance at point creep. Good luck
 

BuzzH

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Joined
Jan 9, 2001
Messages
14,245
Location
Laramie, WY
I'm looking to cash in some elk points next season, but I'm already planning now for scouting and logistics purposes. There is a limited quota unit I'm really interested in that currently has a 100% draw odds with 6 points, and around 50% at less than 6. I'll have 6 points next year. If I put that as my first choice and a general tag as my second choice I have 0% chance for a second choice general tag if I don't get my first choice. I'm sure some of you can figure out this unit, but I hate guys that blast spots on message boards haha.

So my question is would you gamble and hope the unit stays at 6 points or move on and spend your time scouting other units? Thanks!
I would wonder if the 6 point unit is any better than a general tag.
 

QuazyQuinton

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Joined
Jun 8, 2020
Messages
429
Location
Western Oregon
The chatter about Wyoming going to 90/10 for elk is certainly not helping your chances.

Given the way that "social media has ruined hunting," your best bet might be to take a scouting trip there this fall and get some photos with plenty of recognizable landmarks. Then open two or three fake accounts on each of the major hunting forums and post up some reports of your "hunts" from this fall. "Hunted eight days and only saw four cows...." "An army of orange and the elk were totally silent...." "Wolves howling in every drainage...." "Stupid G&F has ruined the elk hunting in that unit...."

QQ
 

ccc23454

Well-known member
Joined
Sep 22, 2010
Messages
2,416
Location
Wyoming
I would be leary of a LE unit that only takes 6 points (unless going guided on one of those outfitter welfare tags that already exist). Unless your looking for a very specfic hunt very few NRs should make it past points for a general and none as a first elk hunt.
 

TexAg09

Active member
Joined
Nov 18, 2015
Messages
315
Location
Central Texas
Less than 6 is not the same as 5.
Yes sir, that's why I didn't say 5. I understand the difference, but I feel like it's a gray area if point creep continues on the same trajectory. Do you think I'm more worried about it than I should be? I understand that this is all dependent that application trends stay consistent as well. (Not trying to come across rude.)
 
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