As I read through some of the comments in this thread, it reinforces to me the validity of this statement:
“And on any given day in the winter in the Greater Yellowstone, you can find a scenario that would meet almost any of your ideas or emotional claims about how wolves affect elk. You can find a place where the elk didn’t budge when a pack of wolves showed up, and you can find a place where elk ran a mile,” Middleton said.
“You can find a place where wolves killed two or three elk in one go, and you will find a place where wolves fail to kill again and again. And that’s the nature of this predator and prey. The question the studies are asking is what is typical?”
If you take one thing from SnowyMountaineer's post above, this should be it:
Second, unless you read the whole paper and seek to understand it--including the literature it cites--you can't say a whole lot about it and come out looking very intelligent. No skipping to the discussion section and picking one sentence you agree or disagree with...
Don't cherry pick for confirmation bias. Don't try to find quotes to justify your position. Otherwise, you are not using the information in the context it was presented.
It's fine to take stuff with a grain of salt. However, to tell people to dismiss data because it's from a university is ridiculous. Is all university research useful and applicable? Nope. Do you have to sift through it? Sure. Does Doug Smith potentially have a bias towards wolves? Possibly. Does that mean he can't be objective? Absolutely not.
The Gros Ventre reference is a valid one. However, it's one data point. Is there causation and/or correlation? Who knows at this point? I have plenty of anecdotal observations over the years, but that doesn't mean I should be dismissive of the data presented in this study.
Referencing the presence or lack thereof of elk in the Pioneers and Pintlers solely in relation to wolves is simplistic. Hamlin's research in the Madison Valley on elk movements and timing of such is likely very applicable across much of Montana. I can't definitively say this, but I think it's not all that hard to look at elk use patterns over the last couple of decades and see an inverse correlation between available elk on public ground and harbored elk on private ground. Then, look at this in the context of increased elk damage hunts during this same time frame.
Did wolves play a role in elk numbers? Certainly. Did they directly influence where elk moved to and how they used the available habitat? I'm certainly skeptical. I personally think hunters greatly underestimate the role human pressure plays in elk movements and use patterns. I've yet to see an elk take off at a dead run when a wolf is 1000 yards away, yet I see it happen during hunting season when they smell me.
If you need a villain and want to put it on wolves, feel free. I'm not an apologist or a defender of them. They are here and they are a reality. I have little interest in re-hashing the past. However, I would hope hunters as a whole would be more willing to objectively look at scientific research before deriding it because it doesn't fit their existing paradigm.
At this point in my life, I have a lot more desire to become a better student of wildlife and habitat ecology and helping new hunters embrace this than I do of becoming a more successful hunter. Unfortunately, it seems there is more interest in how to find and kill big bucks than there is in understanding ecosystem dynamics, which aren't always neat and tidy.
I too would like to see the actual scientific publication. I'd also love to sit down with the authors and flesh out additional questions. If there is no limitation to high quality habitat, do elk try and avoid wolves? Have they seen any instances of elk voluntarily using sub optimal habitat in response to presence of wolves? Is the pattern of use changed, i.e shorter and more frequent feeding intervals vs. longer duration/less frequent intervals in the presence of wolves? Is there a seasonal influence that may change the availability of habitat?