I didn't say it was a bad thing. I just wondered how much it would help. I asked Grok.com for some help analyzing. It seems most of the pressure was in 6 and 7. If they maintained the same success ratio, the harvest would decrease by about 1200 deer. That seems significant.Can you explain this more? I don’t see how reducing licenses is a bad thing.
From Grok.
2024 Deer Harvest in Montana by Residency and Success Rates
Based on the latest Montana Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP) data for the 2024 hunting season (covering the 2023-2024 license year, with primary seasons in fall 2023 extending into early 2024), the statewide deer harvest totaled 39,070 deer. This includes both mule deer (the majority, ~28,000) and white-tailed deer, reflecting a slight increase from prior years but ongoing population pressures from factors like epizootic hemorrhagic disease (EHD), habitat loss, and weather. The harvest was up modestly from 2014 levels, but mule deer populations declined 3% to an estimated 249,157 statewide.Breakdown by Residency
- Residents: Harvested 27,700 deer (71% of total). This was driven by ~120,000 resident deer hunters.
- Nonresidents: Harvested 11,370 deer (29% of total), primarily mule deer. This marked an increase of ~1,570 from 2014, despite ~2,600 more nonresident hunters participating.
Success Rates
Success rates are calculated as the percentage of deer hunters who harvested at least one deer, based on FWP hunter surveys and effort data (days afield). Statewide rates were mixed due to regional variations—higher in western Montana (e.g., 21% at some check stations) and lower in eastern areas amid population declines.- Residents: ~23% success rate. With ~120,000 hunters averaging 7.7-8 days afield, this equates to broad participation but moderate individual outcomes.
- Nonresidents: ~40-43% success rate (higher due to guided hunts and focused effort). ~29,108 nonresident deer hunters (2.43% above 21-year average) averaged 6.1 days afield, concentrating pressure in high-opportunity eastern Regions 6 and 7.