Nov 3 - Independents’ Day?

[noharleyyet]

Yes, and math at published vote numbers show Bodnar winning with addition of Democratic numbers.

Yes, that is a reasonable assumption, depending on when Bankhead dropped and then supported Bodnar.
What it tells me as another reasonable and logical assumption is that Seth Bodnar is a strong political entity in Montana.

Why do you wish to be argumentative about such assumptions which are logically valid ... however unprovable, of course?

Big tent is the new normal...

 

[Straight Arrow]

Big tent is the new normal...

Big tent, little tent doesn't matter. Math is not political and does lead to assumptive conclusions, even if theoretical. The math was the point of argument, not political inclusion or exclusion.

 

[noharleyyet]

Big tent is absolutely math my friend...

 

[Straight Arrow]

Meanings skew to angles greater than acute when language connotations differ. You do you, with my blessing.

 

[SAJ-99]

The good news is 194 passed so you will get to see who is pushing the state further to the right. At least until it gets challenged.

 

[Elky Welky]

Perhaps he would be strategically best-served to lean into that, especially since the brand is seemingly improving (for now anyway).

I'm not so sure about that here in MT. Nationally, absolutely, but Bankhead's supporters and MT's democratic leadership really turned people off to the democratic brand this cycle.

I'm sure he'll keep that option open and see how things look after a year. If Dems use their power in Washington for a revenge tour and don't actually try and govern, he'll be smart to stay independent. If dems in DC actually fix things and the brand gets stronger here, then maybe.

 

[Treeshark]

If Dems use their power in Washington for a revenge tour and don't actually try and govern, he'll be smart to stay independent. If dems in DC actually fix things and the brand gets stronger here, then maybe.

I see it breaking down that way as well.

The fact that a R won almost 50% of the vote in Montana last night was alarming, I don’t realize they swung quite that far. That’s far to the right of Texas at present, which seems crazy.

 

[Elky Welky]

I see it breaking down that way as well.

The fact that a R won almost 50% of the vote in Montana last night was alarming, I don’t realize they swung quite that far. That’s far to the right of Texas at present, which seems crazy.

It really does. I attribute that to two things: first, Covid/Yellowstone drove quite a few MAGA types to MT fleeing states they felt were too liberal, including Texas, and our governor has welcomed them with open arms. Second, we don't have the huge population of Latino voters like Texas does, and they have proved to be a highly influential voting bloc down there for both sides.

 

[jimh406]

The fact that a R won almost 50% of the vote in Montana last night was alarming, I don’t realize they swung quite that far. That’s far to the right of Texas at present, which seems crazy.

Results link below.

Montana Secretary of State

If you look at how many people voted, it was only about 57% of the state that's registered who voted. Who knows how those would have voted if they voted.

There are a few deep blue parts of the state. Missoula, for example, the Rs got only about 28% for Flint and 25% for Alme. I'm sure there are other counties with similar results either mostly D or mostly R.

 

[Forkyfinder]

If dems in DC actually fix things and the brand gets stronger here, then maybe.

Are you a betting man?

I know i have my doubts (hopes?) but i imagine there will be much more time spent on the oppression measuring contest, bathroom confusion, and all out calls for the end of captalism instead of responsible governance.