This is opinion/experience only as it is in my wheelhouse of federal employment. Not based on graphs, charts, or MALA anti-admin theories:
IMO/E, We hold a valuable relation with our northern "family". We have the longest border of ANY two countries in the world. We get along and Canada has always stepped in with boots on the ground when we, the U.S., decided to stick our pecker in other country affairs in the name of National Security, including mineral securities (oil), etc.
We owe each other mutual respect, the dignity to manage our reciprocal trade differences at the negotiating table. In the end, it will calm as Canadians can not resist their snowbird love for our country and we, Americans, can hold out far longer than Canada to press for better reciprocal trade. Canada has a 340 million population within trucking /rail distance and U.S. has 40 million Canadians for the same retail/wholesale value.
We offer massive amounts of employment for products assembled in Canada (automobiles, etc) and we both leverage within bilateral trade with mainly energy and agriculture. It's a common trade imbalance of Canadian surplus versus U.S. deficit. To better understand the #'s U.S. deficit with Canada is $63 billion for 2024 ALONE!
Another side of trade imbalance: Softwood lumber with respect to Canadian forestry practice holds a direct impact on U.S. lumber prices. This admin is rightfully (again, IMO) attempting to open U.S. timber to counter Canadian "reciprocal" trade imbalance.
It sickened me during the 4 Nation Face Off when Canada boo'd and hurled insults during our U.S. Anthem and U.S. returned volley in Boston of sickening feeling as we stepped down to their level of disrespect. Our national anthems are not sung in praise of Trudeau, nor Trump. The anthems are respected for our countries.
Can one imagine the crap our U.S. Olympics would be if each flag and anthem is met with loud, roucous boo's and snearing screams of insults? Sad. Some here disagree and find this petty is reasonable - to each his/her own. Again, this is merely my opinion.
This admin has caused Canada to expand alternative export opportunities to reduce the volitility our giverning element has exposed. Though again, reality - even with more reciprocal agreements made, Canada holds far greater value with our country over expanding current exports to other countries. This admin knows this and so does Canada.
The boisterous country bravado has valuably (IMO) surged Canadian national pride! This is the positive side of the current action. Not often do we find every Canadian Province aboard the maple leaf flag! I currently reside in Canada on U.S. Gov orders and it's very cool to see the pride sprout from this disingenuis admin vocal yammering.
It's great as ALL my bordering neighbors have their maple leaf flags waving. Makes me miss my ability to wave my American flag as I do - 24/7 (with a light for night). My neighbors are all fantastic people! I watched the second 4 Nations NHL game at one neighbor's house, play monthly poker games at another, etc, etc.
Mexico, we hold a trade deficit of $722 million. Mexico's population as of 2023 was 130 million! *Amazing... You can see how challenging this is when compared to the deficit of $64 BILLION with Canada and their 40 million population. This shows a significant value and unequivicable challenge that is able to be modified - at least somewhat. USMCA was a good start. Time has been spent with USMCA to identify weak points and revamp the trade agreement.
Mexico, we hold a serious security factor that calls for this admin's valued actions on the southern border. Canada is now the vocally exposed (by this admin) as the weak link for Mexican, S.A., European, and Asian cartels to gain access to U.S. 340 million. And this IS ACCURATE! In my opinion/experience. Canada is far behind in funding their CBSA to adaquately and properly utilize tools and intelligence to reduce the nexus to America from their seaports. This admin is correct in the drug/human trade due to Canada's inability to defend itself from foreign trafficking. It not only affects U.S. though also Canada. U.S. Northern border, as mentioned before, is the longest border between two countries in the world! U.S. has been increasing the rehabilitation of northern border ports of entries, tools and training for the ports and the boundry between the ports. Canada depends on a seperate branch of RCMP for boundry enforcement... RCMP is spread far too thin to be effective. Canada needs to step up if they want to negotiate their massive surplus, IMO.
Many aspects to be worked between our two neighboring countries that, IMO, would have been better resolved at the negotiating table than loud mouth political bantering, as could be said of our *strong allies elsewhere. However, that is not how this admin operates and to this admin's defense, their actions have led to many new trade deals much more favorable to U.S. than before... I personally don't like his style.
How's that for a bunch of typed yammering? Haha! Watch as a few will nit pick a line or two and misrepresent the intent. I'm open to constructive comments that, I imagine will be related to surplus vs deficit and population aspects. I don't have the time to detail my specific thoughts of this though it is clearly apparent. I believe we will never reach a 1 to 1 though we are far from even 1 to 50 and that *can be negotiated.