I am one of the lucky few who were evacuated during the hot part of the 416 fire. I wish my draw odds for hunting tags had been equally as good! Maybe I built some karma outta this fire somehow.
Anyway, the forest did reopen, but 3 days of red flag warnings have re-kindled what was a semi-dormant fire after Hurricane Bud gently dropped an inch of rain here. Unbelievably the storm do so with almost no lightning and little wind. It was amazing. But as someone that worked fire crews and familiar the terrain on fire basically in my backyard, I knew it wasn't gonna be long before mother nature got angry again. The fire is back to columns of smoke and grew 600 acres again yesterday after only 150 acres of growth over the last week. Today was very active as well. Not sure on the growth yet. I can tell you that the containment percentage decreased from 37% to 36%. Yes, it's only a percentage point, but in this scenario it's not good to see it going in the wrong direction. In comparison, the Burro fire (also burning and 6 miles directly west)also increased in size and lost containment of 53% down to 40%
So, they could close the 1.8 million acres of FS again at any time. Even though the forest is at stage 2 fire restrictions, I believe La Plata county is still enforcing stage 3 restrictions. La Plata county has a lot of Units 75 and 751 in it.
The containment date of the fire is projected to July 31st and that weighs heavily on monsoon rains. The long range forecast from NOAA has no real precip on the horizon and looks to be more drought conditions for the next month.
I am very optimistic that the fire will be under control enough to warrant hunting without issue by the start of archery season. Hopefully it's completely out. Even as active and in the wilderness that it is, the fire only really effects a very small portion of the national forest all in units 71 and 74. There is tons of available public land to go around. Even if you don't come near here (unit 74), units 75/751 "should be fully open to the public".
I guided some hunters right though the edges of an active fire north of Lemon reservoir (unit 75) about 6-7 years ago and it was a couple of the best seasons I ever guided. We just took advantage of elk patterns that developed in areas they weren't familiar with.
I would say google earth it and located the areas that are not effected by the fire and capitalize. You might not see very many other folks out there this year, just cause of the media attention that this fire has gotten. Just food for thought.
Also, The forest being closed has created the first human "break" that any animal in that 1.8 million acres has seen since the NF "opened". They just had a whole week and a half to themselves. I can't wait to see what that did for calves and herd migration.
Btw, I have a 74 archery buck tag and I will be hunting right around the south western edge of the fire. I can't wait to have the place to myself.
I hope that helps. Pm me anytime