CO CPW Draw Process Working Group

[Sandbrew]

We are taking 130+/- ram hunters out of the drawing pool every year if we are OIL, yet apps are increasing by THOUSANDS every year. Makes zero sense.

"Changing to once-in-a-lifetime ram harvest results in no meaningful increase(hundredths of 1 percent) in the chance of drawing a license. This is because of the high, and increasing, applicant numbers in the draw. In other words, the continuous removal of the number of sheep hunters who harvest a ram from the pool of applicants applying for a ram license has a negligible effect on the chance of drawing a license. This is because the number of rams harvested annually (~130 for residents) is significantly less than the annual increases in resident applicant numbers for a ram license (3,822 applicants at 0+0 preference points in 2020, 6.8% annual increase thereafter). Essentially, the high and increasing applicant numbers swamp out the draw and nullify any increased draw percentage afforded by once-in-a-lifetime ram harvest."

I personally don't think there are many getting back in the draw after harvesting then waiting 5 years then get back to 3 years worth of points to be eligible in the 9th year since harvest any longer. Many choose desert sheep after killing a Rocky. I voted no on this but was out voted for simplicity and consistency across the big 4 species. In reality anyone that harvested a ram in the last 5 years now has 15000+ applicants ahead of them and with the approx. 2000+ new apps a year there are very slim chances of repeat ram tags in anyone's future.

Sandbrew

 

[cedahm]

Agree, this is dumb that we are considering this for no real benefit to the "Draw Process" the group is tasked with.

the benefit to the draw process is a nod towards ‘fairness’, but mainly it’s:

I voted no on this but was out voted for simplicity and consistency across the big 4 species.

Nowhere in the working group charter is ‘increase draw odds’ listed as a main goal of the group so that shouldn’t be a filter on decision making.