Yeah, because that's what I bet Bozeman needs is homeless people...
Oh Buzzard. Looks like a decline to me. It was on it's way down, then it got a Covid bump as every outdoor activity did.
What do these numbers show you? I'd consider it a decline. I bet in a couple more years when the Covid onset hunters give up, it'll continue on a downward trend.
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From my statistical view it looks like fluctuations in available licenses...not a decline in hunter numbers. LQ elk tag numbers are variable depending on management goals, some years more are issued, some years less are issued depending on biological and social reasons.
Also, active hunters just means those that actually hunted with their tag(s) has nothing to do with total hunter numbers.
For example, I buy pronghorn doe tags and pitch them in the trash (I was not an active hunter in the Stats). Same for my wife, who will buy general elk, general deer, pronghorn buck and doe tags to support the GF but pitches them in the trash can as well. (not an active hunter in the Stats either).
I would also tend to draw the conclusion that with such small fluctuations in both licenses issued AND active hunters, Wyoming is doing a good job of elk/hunter management. Managing in peaks and valleys is, IMO, mismanagement...albeit, sometimes unavoidable due to things out of managers control (weather, disease, etc.)
Nice try...a c- to d+ effort at proving your "point".
I would say the amount of fluctuations you're seeing is also within the SD of the sample size, based on confidence interval of the model.
That's my take, but I do tend to put more than a 2 minute google search worth of thought into hunting, wildlife management, etc. But, hey, that's just me.
While on statistics, you're statistically irrelevant to anything that goes on in Wyoming.