Congrats to you guys that drew. I’ve been wanting to draw that tag for a long time but haven’t been lucky enough to draw one of the few NR tags.
I haven’t hunted in the unit myself (no tag), but have hunted in some of the units that it borders. So take what I say with a grain of salt. Also, I don’t even live in the state, and most of the people who live near 652 would have a much better grasp on what’s going on there then I would. From what I have heard and even seen (when driving by), the hunting in that unit isn’t much better than the hunting in the general units around 652. You should go into your hunt with the mindset that this tag is for an opportunity to hunt Eastern Montana in a unit that has a good number of deer, with only 49 other tag holders, rather than hunting with thousand s of other hunters in the general units surrounding the area where your tag is good for. That should be reason enough for you guys to be excited. But back in the day, I believe there was always an opportunity to get a big one out there if you put your time in or got lucky.
As with everything, there is good news and there is bad news.
The good news: Checking some of my old stomping grounds last season, I really noticed an uptick in the number of deer. It’s not close to what it was in the early 2000’s but it’s definitely a move in the right direction after the two bad winters they had. Also, I saw the most bucks I have seen since 2011, last season. So you should see enough deer to keep things interesting.
The bad news: If you are really looking for an old buck, I think this is the worst time of any, to find one in this part of Montana. Reason being, the winters of 2009-2010, and 2010-2011 were really bad. In bad winters, the older breeding age bucks (generally 4.5 years or older) get wiped out, and so do the fawns. If one winter wasn’t enough to wipe out these older bucks, there was a second harder winter to back the first one up to make sure and put the last nail in the coffin for any bucks with some age. Next, the fawns born in 2010 AND 2011 took a big hit and are basically missing from the herd. Now here is where it gets a little more complicated. The bucks that DID survive the two bad winters, the 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 year old bucks in 2010 and 2011, were the bucks that guys hunting in the East would see and occasionally shoot out there the last half of a decade. Those were the hold out bucks that maybe gave guys the illusion that there are still big bucks out there, but really are not. Those 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 year old bucks from before the winter are dead. They died of old age or were shot by some good hunters in the 2012, 2013 and 2014 seasons. I hunted two big bucks like this over the last 3 years but I wasn’t good enough to take one, and I am kicking myself because the opportunity was there but now won’t be for a few more years yet. The bucks that are out there right now are bucks that were born in 2011, and more than likely 2012 and on. The issue now is the bucks born after those winters are VERY SMALL in the body. The does that survived the winters either aborted their fawns they had, or had fawns that were much smaller than the fawns they would have after a normal winter, just because of the energy those does had to put into trying to survive. My best friend killed a buck out in E. Montana two seasons back, and this buck was the size of the coastal deer we have in California, he was tiny. The deer you will run into that have a few years on them will be very small in the body, so keep that in mind when you guys are looking over bucks and judging antlers to ears. My best guess is that it will take a few years for the bucks to get some age to them before we start to see some good ones again in 2018. This goes for 652 and for the units around it. Last deer I killed was in 2012, and ive had a tag every year since.
With that said, I am sure everyone has their own opinions and own observations, but this is what I have seen myself in the areas I hunt. So there may be opinions that are not in line with mine. Also, if I were in your shoes ide do everything in my power to show the guy spreading doom and gloom that he was wrong.
Flame away.