Hey Mav, give me a minute to dig up the specifics. But like all public health scares. Let’s look at the states total population and the figure out the number of victims per year on an average basis. Let’s exclude gang crime or drug dealing crimes, I’m guessing you will have a better chance on getting stuck by lighting hiking mt evans than dying via the gun violence epidemic
Here are stats off the state page: Colorado has experienced 61 mass shootings in the last 10 years with 328 people shot, resulting in 82 killed and 246 injured (Zeoli et al, 2022). So let’s now look at population averages for the state for the same time period: then we can take the total population and the number of victims, I’ll add wounded to murdered to make the number as large as possible and we should have our rough estimate of chances of being involved in a mass shooting. But then we have to further divide that by 10…
So 2010 we were 5 million pop now we are 5.8, so let’s split it and say 5.4 million. So 328 into 5.4 million. Gives us a result of .00000019 now we can divide that by number of years to find out yearly average possibility of being in an event. So .000000002 yearly odds of being involved in a mass shooting and this does not take into account gang violence so we can probably further reduce that number. But we will leave it there so we aren’t splitting hairs.
Now let’s look up odds of being struck by lightning. State page says 2 killed and 12 injured a year. So over 10 years 20 killed and 120 injured. So clearly, your odds of being killed by lightning or a mass shooting are fairly close, being wounded by a mass shooting is about twice of being wounded by lighting… and now we can form a bill to stop the public epidemic of deadly lightning strikes!