That trail complex starts in my wife’s old neighborhood. You are unlikely to see elk from anywhere near the trail. If it was more remote, I would agree with mulecreeks sentiment.
If you ignore the fact that you are literally inside a sizable town, which also happens to be the first town that tens of thousands of recreationists see after crossing the divide 70 miles from a major city, your analysis isn’t bad, but those things are, of course, very relevant.
From an e-scouting “practice” perspective - look to the north where there is a bunch of a dark timber with two creek drainages in it - that is in the middle of a semicircle of trails and has a natural barrier of the gnarly steep stuff to the west. That timber should hold elk (and, in point of fact - it sometimes does

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