In the case of Iran, occupation would not be an intelligent choice. 70% of the Iranian population is under 30 years of age.....all they need is a toppling of the present hard line regime.
Whitedeer,
Go back and look at the demographics of the Iranian population between 1980 and 1988, when they were at war with Iraq. The first thing you will notice is they were 70% under age 30 then. The second thing you will notice is that an entire generation of men between the ages of 30 and 45 does not exist, They are either dead or maimed.
From 1980 to 1988 the under 30 crowd did not welcome the Iraqis as liberators. Instead they volunteered to die in human wave attacks upon fortified Iraqi strong points and to run through mine fields to clear them so the follow on armor would not be hung up in an obstacle.
If they were willing to fight that hard against another muslim country, albeit with secular leaders, how hard do you suppose the Iranian's would fight to repel the "Great Satan"?
Do you suppose the Ayatollahs have been preaching to the under 30 crowd about the virtues of America and how wonderful freedom and democracy is?
Whether or not you occupy the country you still need boots on the ground. Look at Afganistan, whether you just take out the leadership and leave the rest of population to figure it out for themselves it takes Money, Time and Personel. If you break it, you own it.
There is simply NO WAY that the military leadership is going to support going to war against Iran. The political leadership will not risk the fallout of forcing that issue. The voters of this country won't stand still for it either.
As for being able to support another deployment I just don't see how we can as we are out of troops. Our airlift and sealift capacities are limited and the POMCUS sites in Europe and the Middle East have already been cannibalized to support the current deployments. The Army is stripping vehicles and equipment from guard and reserve units not set to deploy. There simply is not enough stockpiled equipment, munitions and man power to take on Iran.
I don't think that you could support any adventure in Iran unless you are just trigger happy.
Nemont
[ 07-20-2004, 13:39: Message edited by: Nemont ]