Wyoming results question
- Thread starter Tyler1215
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I'm still going thru some of the 2020 results but there were of course some large swings from last year in draw odd.s Unit 21 for example last year was a 85% draw w/ 1 pt, this year it was 35%. Unit 113 was 47% w/ 1 pt last year, 15% this year.
Tis the nature of the beast I suppose!
Tis the nature of the beast I suppose!
In the unit we applied for it looks like we had a 25% chance based on 6.5 points (assuming all other's in that category were equal to 6.5). If may have been 0 if the other 7 applicants were greater than 6.5. The best our odds would have been would be 50% in the preference draw. We gained on the point creep gremlin a little from last year. Next year is son's senior year so that would be a good graduation present, if we don't go to Alaska. In our unit it looks like we gain on the point creep gremlin by about .25 point a year.
Guess well settle for ducks in SD (if we draw) and Couse in Arizona.
Guess well settle for ducks in SD (if we draw) and Couse in Arizona.
arthurpete
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Wow, either i got unlucky or the draw odds shifted a good bit. My choice in units for buck tags were 70% for first choice and 50% odds for a second. Doe tags were 80-90% on both my first option and 100% on the 2nd.
I only drew one 2nd choice doe tag
edit - draw odds shifted significantly, my first choice buck unit doubled and the first choice doe unit dropped the quota by half! crazy
I only drew one 2nd choice doe tag
edit - draw odds shifted significantly, my first choice buck unit doubled and the first choice doe unit dropped the quota by half! crazy
Last edited:
Tyler1215
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My brother and I drew unit 32 with the 5 points I mentioned earlier in this thread. I'm so pumped no work is getting done today haha
Sasquatchewan
Well-known member
I drew my 3rd choice in the special draw. I had roughly 70-100% with previous years odds as a second choice. My third choice was guaranteed, 27 tags issued in 2019 with only 2 applicants out of all choices. Well, my third choice went 50% odds this year... That's nuts, some dudes literally didn't draw their third choice that usually had dozens of leftovers...
Tag I drew with second choice last year was 65% first choice with zero points this year. Split my 1 point with a buddy who had none and thankfully that was enough to get us tags.
It’ll be points for the foreseeable future for Wyoming Antelope. Ready to switch gears and chase elk.
It’ll be points for the foreseeable future for Wyoming Antelope. Ready to switch gears and chase elk.
HONEYBADGER
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Thank GoHunt and all the people pimping it....
Lmwmihunter76
Active member
Did you get your tags??
Bigjay73
Well-known member
Doesn't years like this make apps like that useless, or did they predict the odds correctly?
WapitiBob
Well-known member
When licenses get cut in multiple units people tend to change their choices.
They're good at calculating and presenting past drawing odds in a digestible way that saves the user from digging through the state websites to find the same info. Some states (e.g., NM, AZ) have really complicated draws that require an iterative modeling approach to really calculate what the odds were. States like WY have really simple draws that anyone with a calculator can crunch on their own.
For a while, they were claiming they would soon have the ability to predict future drawing odds. Gotta say I don't see that happening with any accuracy.
Rhino Hunter
Well-known member
Lmwmihunter76
Active member
Sure did!! we all got our tags. Although I did apply for antelope doe tag just for and did not get that.
WapitiBob
Well-known member
Ron Wold does predictive odds for Oregon but our draw is pretty straight forward.
Steve Petersen
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50-0 for me and 50-1 youth for my 2 sons. Antelope hunt in the AM and bear in the PM.
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