I don’t know how the Guard runs things, but in the Marine Corps there would be 0 question, these guys would be phucked and in a big way. We used to do lots of things for training back in the day that may have been done in conjunction with legal activities. Like cross country training…while lobster is on sale in Maine, in Nov when it’s nice to chase pheasants in ND, to grab a pair of boots your GF left in MT, a buddy’s wedding in WA, sockeye run on the Buskin…all things that happened to have been going on once you landed. Take stuff like that away and it’s not as appealing to stick around and deal with the BS.
Once charges got dropped and it made the news these guys will be lucky if they get to retain their VA benefits. Careers are over for sure. Hell, in the USMC their CO would have already been fired.
These guys won’t get a week of desk duty like when I took my dogs on a trip

. I’d bet a large sum an example will be made. It isn’t going to end well for these guys.
The somewhat ironic piece of this is that this is what the military kind of looks for in its pilots, risk takers. Before pilot selection you take a test that has some questions in it that you don’t think are serious, but it is a personality assessment you can certainly fail. They want Maverick from Top Gun type people, not Bill Gates types. Obviously these guys took things too far. Bad deal for them.