They tried the “predictive odds” last year and I remember arguing with it in my brain lol but where a lot of people get mislead is that your always looking at the odds from the year before.
A little bit of math and checking from the previous years let’s you know what point creep will be. I seem to always be correcting people when they say, “it took 13 points last year so I’ll draw with my 13 points this year.”
“No it’ll take 14 points this year. You’re still a year behind most likely.” … “WHAT! HOW!”
That’s how most conversations go.
There’s also the fact that sometimes in your mind 80% means you’ll draw. Of course there’s plenty of times you won’t draw even when the chances are high.
A little bit of math and checking from the previous years let’s you know what point creep will be. I seem to always be correcting people when they say, “it took 13 points last year so I’ll draw with my 13 points this year.”
“No it’ll take 14 points this year. You’re still a year behind most likely.” … “WHAT! HOW!”
That’s how most conversations go.
There’s also the fact that sometimes in your mind 80% means you’ll draw. Of course there’s plenty of times you won’t draw even when the chances are high.
