Gohunt Colorado Elk

[caddiscrazy]

Anybody know when gohunt should have elk draw odds updated for 2026? It is moved into the states updated, but still shows last year's data. Trying to decide whether I'm using elk points in colorado or deer points in another state. The unit I missed drawing last year had 100 percent draw odds at the six points I had until I had already applied and then they updated to zero percent haha. Dont want to fall into that same trap this year. I have quite a bit of intel on this particular unit or I would just throw points on another one. I imagine with point creep I will be just gaining another point. This then complicates things for me because outside of the intel, it really doesnt seem like a seven point unit. I am in no man's land as far as that goes point wise. Seven points seems like alot of points for someone like me that will gladly shoot any legal bull.

 

[Carnage2011]

Anybody know when gohunt should have elk draw odds updated for 2026? It is moved into the states updated, but still shows last year's data. Trying to decide whether I'm using elk points in colorado or deer points in another state. The unit I missed drawing last year had 100 percent draw odds at the six points I had until I had already applied and then they updated to zero percent haha. Dont want to fall into that same trap this year. I have quite a bit of intel on this particular unit or I would just throw points on another one. I imagine with point creep I will be just gaining another point. This then complicates things for me because outside of the intel, it really doesnt seem like a seven point unit. I am in no man's land as far as that goes point wise. Seven points seems like alot of points for someone like me that will gladly shoot any legal bull.

I used it yesterday and it was updated.

 

[WapitiBob]

Anybody know when gohunt should have elk draw odds updated for 2026? It is moved into the states updated, but still shows last year's data. Trying to decide whether I'm using elk points in colorado or deer points in another state. The unit I missed drawing last year had 100 percent draw odds at the six points I had until I had already applied and then they updated to zero percent haha. Dont want to fall into that same trap this year. I have quite a bit of intel on this particular unit or I would just throw points on another one. I imagine with point creep I will be just gaining another point. This then complicates things for me because outside of the intel, it really doesnt seem like a seven point unit. I am in no man's land as far as that goes point wise. Seven points seems like alot of points for someone like me that will gladly shoot any legal bull.

They will always show "last years odds" except for the "predicted odds", which they have stopped providing except for WY, from what I see.

 

[caddiscrazy]

Hmmm… I didn’t know they quit showing predicted odds. I guess I can pretty well just add a point to every unit lol

 

[Carnage2011]

Hmmm… I didn’t know they quit showing predicted odds. I guess I can pretty well just add a point to every unit lol

The predictive odds were such a crap shoot that they weren't really worth much. I'd look at the draw trends and see how fast a unit is climbing.

 

[Zim]

The predictive odds were such a crap shoot that they weren't really worth much. I'd look at the draw trends and see how fast a unit is climbing.

Totally agree. And it's a fact, not an opinion. It's a lot more productive to study the exact number of applicants for each hunt, and who drew and cleared out for this year. Of course you never know who will come off the bench to burn points, but at least you can see trends by going back 5 years. I'm applying for a unit listed as taking quite a few points to draw, but upon inspection there was only one guy close to his level, plus one other. Both drew the two tags ahead of me. And nobody else in my 2025 draw pool. So I'm going for it.

 

[birmingham485]

Predictive odds

Hmmm… I didn’t know they quit showing predicted odds. I guess I can pretty well just add a point to every unit lol

Predictive odds are soooo tough to predict, especially for Colorado where they don't publish the actual quota for a hunt before the draw. You can get a rough prediction of the people who will apply and the number of points they generally have, but the big unknown is the quota. Smart to not publish predictive odds if they're wrong most of the time

 

[Bluffgruff]

Predictive odds

Predictive odds are soooo tough to predict, especially for Colorado where they don't publish the actual quota for a hunt before the draw. You can get a rough prediction of the people who will apply and the number of points they generally have, but the big unknown is the quota. Smart to not publish predictive odds if they're wrong most of the time

They do publish the quotas, sort of.

 

[birmingham485]

They do publish the quotas, sort of.

before the draw? Where? I'd love to see those!

 

[caddiscrazy]

Checked gohunt yesterday, and they did add predictive odds for Colorado elk for 2026. Just as I suspected, I have low odds of drawing my target unit.

 

[Bluffgruff]

before the draw? Where? I'd love to see those!

In chapter W2, big game regulations

 

[WapitiBob]

Checked gohunt yesterday, and they did add predictive odds for Colorado elk for 2026. Just as I suspected, I have low odds of drawing my target unit.

Good deal, they probably weren’t done updating when I looked.

 

[birmingham485]

In chapter W2, big game regulations

Those look like the 2025 quotas to me. All the tags have the 2026 dates, but the "Licenses" column is labeled 2025.

 

[sillygoose]

Hmmm… I didn’t know they quit showing predicted odds. I guess I can pretty well just add a point to every unit lol

over 5 years point creep isn't as bad as most people think for most of the state but it's still so unpredictable, specially with the draw system changes looming. I try to create predictions based on the point creep trends of 3 and 5 years but as stated before, it's a crap shoot.

 

[Fred_WalsenburgRanch]

Anybody know when gohunt should have elk draw odds updated for 2026? It is moved into the states updated, but still shows last year's data. Trying to decide whether I'm using elk points in colorado or deer points in another state. The unit I missed drawing last year had 100 percent draw odds at the six points I had until I had already applied and then they updated to zero percent haha. Dont want to fall into that same trap this year. I have quite a bit of intel on this particular unit or I would just throw points on another one. I imagine with point creep I will be just gaining another point. This then complicates things for me because outside of the intel, it really doesnt seem like a seven point unit. I am in no man's land as far as that goes point wise. Seven points seems like alot of points for someone like me that will gladly shoot any legal bull.

Really enjoying following this thread—lots of good info here.


I’ve spent some time down in southern Colorado (GMU 85 area near Walsenburg), and it’s always interesting how much animal movement seems tied to those terrain transitions—open ground into draws and thicker cover.


Curious what you guys have seen this year—are elk holding higher longer, or starting to drop earlier with the conditions?

 

[Fred_WalsenburgRanch]

Anybody know when gohunt should have elk draw odds updated for 2026? It is moved into the states updated, but still shows last year's data. Trying to decide whether I'm using elk points in colorado or deer points in another state. The unit I missed drawing last year had 100 percent draw odds at the six points I had until I had already applied and then they updated to zero percent haha. Dont want to fall into that same trap this year. I have quite a bit of intel on this particular unit or I would just throw points on another one. I imagine with point creep I will be just gaining another point. This then complicates things for me because outside of the intel, it really doesnt seem like a seven point unit. I am in no man's land as far as that goes point wise. Seven points seems like alot of points for someone like me that will gladly shoot any legal bull.

I feel your pain on that—GOHUNT usually updates after states release the prior year’s final draw data, so it’s often late winter / early spring right before application deadlines.

I wouldn’t rely too hard on “100% odds” anyway—point creep and applicant swings can flip that fast. With 7 points, you’re kind of in that awkward middle ground, so it might be worth either burning them on a solid hunt you want or pivoting to something you can draw more consistently rather than chasing last year’s numbers.