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2nd Choices

Dougfirtree

Well-known member
Joined
Jul 27, 2016
Messages
3,055
Location
Adirondacks
Hi all,

A (possibly stupid) question here: Is there a good way to determine, through published data, your chances of drawing a particular tag as a second choice? All I see is data on the first choices... Thanks!
 
I am not a draw expert, but wouldn't you want to look at the draw odds from the previous year looking at the tag quota, applicants that applied and drew with first choice and see how many were left over for 2nd choice.
 
I am not a draw expert, but wouldn't you want to look at the draw odds from the previous year looking at the tag quota, applicants that applied and drew with first choice and see how many were left over for 2nd choice.
Yes, but unless you could get a sense for how many people put it down as a second choice, I'm not sure how useful that would be.
 
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