npaden
Well-known member
Okay. I drew my general elk tag so I'll be going to Wyoming again this year and I'm starting to think about my Wyoming pronghorn application and am still scratching my head over last years draw results and would like to try to figure it out so I don't have to rely so much on getting lucky with my first choice like I did last year.
When preparing for the 2012 draw, I used the 2011 draw results and applied for unit 73 as my 2nd choice because it looked like there was a tiny bit of a chance I could draw it with my 2nd choice and put unit 72 as my 3rd choice because it looked like a lock and had leftover license that year.
When the results for 2012 came out I was lucky and drew my 1st choice, and it's a good thing because I wouldn't have drawn either 72 or 73 with my 2nd choice.
In 2011 there were 994 resident tags and 203 tags allocated to the nonresident special pool for unit 72. There were only 67 1st choice applicant so there were plenty left for 2nd choice applicants.
In 2012 there were only 713 resident tags (a 28% reduction), but the nonresident special tags were cut all the way down to 64 (a 68% reduction). Applicants were actually up from 67 in 2011 to 135 in 2012 so obviously there would have been no tags left for 2nd choice applicants.
Unit 73 had a similar reduction in resident tags, but the nonresident special tags were reduced by the same % on it so that made sense and it just turned out that the applications for that unit on the special nonresident tag doubled for some reason.
My big question is what in the heck happened with unit 72? Resident tags go down 28% and Nonresident tags go down 68%? There were a similar number of nonresident tags in 2010 as there were in 2011, just a massive drop in 2012. It looks like there may have been an overallocation in prior years and they just evened it up in 2012?
How do they go about calculating this and how would I have been able to figure out the big change after my application was submitted when I could have still modified it?
Lots of questions and I think I confused myself in there, but hopefully someone can make some sense out of it and help me on this.
Thanks, Nathan
When preparing for the 2012 draw, I used the 2011 draw results and applied for unit 73 as my 2nd choice because it looked like there was a tiny bit of a chance I could draw it with my 2nd choice and put unit 72 as my 3rd choice because it looked like a lock and had leftover license that year.
When the results for 2012 came out I was lucky and drew my 1st choice, and it's a good thing because I wouldn't have drawn either 72 or 73 with my 2nd choice.
In 2011 there were 994 resident tags and 203 tags allocated to the nonresident special pool for unit 72. There were only 67 1st choice applicant so there were plenty left for 2nd choice applicants.
In 2012 there were only 713 resident tags (a 28% reduction), but the nonresident special tags were cut all the way down to 64 (a 68% reduction). Applicants were actually up from 67 in 2011 to 135 in 2012 so obviously there would have been no tags left for 2nd choice applicants.
Unit 73 had a similar reduction in resident tags, but the nonresident special tags were reduced by the same % on it so that made sense and it just turned out that the applications for that unit on the special nonresident tag doubled for some reason.
My big question is what in the heck happened with unit 72? Resident tags go down 28% and Nonresident tags go down 68%? There were a similar number of nonresident tags in 2010 as there were in 2011, just a massive drop in 2012. It looks like there may have been an overallocation in prior years and they just evened it up in 2012?
How do they go about calculating this and how would I have been able to figure out the big change after my application was submitted when I could have still modified it?
Lots of questions and I think I confused myself in there, but hopefully someone can make some sense out of it and help me on this.
Thanks, Nathan