-
Montana Mule Deer Mismanagement
No, it was just my way of detecting sample or harvest bias. Obviously, total recruitment year to year plays a role as well. But, given true random sampling, the graphs I posted above shouldn't happen. -
Montana Mule Deer Mismanagement
Year of harvest minus age is the year of recruitment, aka the "buck fawn cohort" year. -
Montana Mule Deer Mismanagement
We need more year, but here is an idea. You would expect something like 2017 (obviously 1.5 yr old harvest is missing here). This is public land harvest. Edit: I back calculated the birth year wrong, corrected. -
Montana Mule Deer Mismanagement
Alot of things could explain it. My guess would be it's probably more of a sample bias -
Montana Mule Deer Mismanagement
First, using the mean to describe age is, IMO, not the appropriate metric. Mean is much more subject to skew from outliers (ie, one year having high harvest on one particular age group), they should be using median. Second, looking at the data, there is evidence for, IMO, bias. In the photos... -
Montana Mule Deer Mismanagement
Age class is a social issue. I'm not making an argument that there is a "problem" biologically there since there is no data I'm aware of that says it matters biologically. I'm just pointing out that a snapshot in time may not represent what happens over the long term. I agree, data is the... -
Montana Mule Deer Mismanagement
Do you have access to the data? If so, PM me. The more I look at and think about that comment, I really see 2 potential issues with the data. The first, you touch on above, some sort of bias that causes people to submit older deer in a higher frequency then younger deer. A quick check on... -
Montana Mule Deer Mismanagement
I haven't seen the particular data he quoted. I believe that certain years 50% of the harvest is 4x4 or better is real, I would have to dig into the numbers to see how they have varied over the last 20 years. Given that I don't know the data he is referencing, there is some data I am familiar... -
-
.25 Creed! But Why?
I would rather have a 25 Creed vs 6 or 6.5 Creed. Why? 1. Less recoil than 6.5 Creed with same BC bullets and faster velocities for better wind bracketing. I also like to zero my rifle at longer ranges and this could accommodate a 250 or 300 yard zero, which I prefer to a 200 or 100 yards...- sclancy27
- Post #44
- Forum: Ammunition and Reloading
-
Land management agency impact stories...
I think the administration would argue they are doing most of those.- sclancy27
- Post #288
- Forum: Public Land Issues
-
Land management agency impact stories...
That's not true. Grok can mine all sorts of writing material for data to learn. Not much material out there for making govt "more efficient" other than what your creator inputs...- sclancy27
- Post #265
- Forum: Public Land Issues
-
Dept of Interior handed over to DOGE
In fairness, he was elected to Congress.- sclancy27
- Post #75
- Forum: Sportsmen Issues
-
Land management agency impact stories...
Sure. And no offense to Grok. All hail Grok..... This sounds like a conspiracy but it honestly wouldn't surprise me that this whole thing is a Beta-test of AI software and errors and problems they need to address and we are just stuck in the way.- sclancy27
- Post #220
- Forum: Public Land Issues
-
Land management agency impact stories...
I'm sure I'm closer to reality about Grok. I'm certain they've been utilizing AI to "speed things up". All that it's done is shown how far AI needs to go to actually be useful. This whole thing has happened like a grade schooler was in control, which is exactly what you would expect from...- sclancy27
- Post #218
- Forum: Public Land Issues
-
-
Land management agency impact stories...
Working for DOI I think it is seeing if they can lateral employees into different positions rather than eliminating and rehiring. Who knows, maybe they will send it through Grok and have him (it?) spit out who deserves to work....- sclancy27
- Post #216
- Forum: Public Land Issues
-
Turkey Troubles
My take: Early season birds are usually with hens from the roost. I personally think calling can push the hen away, which also does a good job of pushing the gobbler with her. I've had luck early season setting up in a known corridor with a terrain advantage to make the gobbler deviate a...- sclancy27
- Post #35
- Forum: Feathers and Wings
-
Anybody Buying Yet? Where’s the Bottom?
This honestly makes me want to like the tariffs "plan". Congress doesn't really seem to vote for anything these days unless it's a financial incentive for them.- sclancy27
- Post #5,140
- Forum: Money and Finances
