Get the highest R value sleeping pad you can (based on your weight considerations) and try to find one above R6 value.
The Therm-a-Rest NeoAir XTherm NXT has an R-value of 7.3 and weighs about a pound, I think. Nemo has one that is at 8.5 or something.
Sleeping pads impact overall sleeping comfort/heat more than we realize. A zero degree bag paired with a summer R value pad (less than 3) won't be as warm as a 20 degree bag with an R value of 7 or 8. Pair that with a beanie and some layers, and you should be fine down to some pretty damn cold temps.