I'm in on the one Steve Chappell operates. I already had 7-8 points and the fees were significantly less than they are now. I'll hunt other states until I draw..... I nearly pay as much to Wyoming every year for 1 in 60 Bison odds.
We are talking about two different things. I'm speaking to general tag predictions.... year over year demand and preference point requirements and random odd percentage prediction. I believe you are talking about predictive odds assuming drastic alterations in License numbers (Maybe the Eastern...
The minute they publish "Predictive" odds they influence human behavior against their assumptions. It could work, but not on any real scale.....unless your just increasing all units by the same 0.5-1 Point per year, which is worthless.
Wyoming Elk - Swing for fences with 0 points
Arizona Elk - Swing for fences with 9
New Mexico Elk - Swing for fences
Montana Elk - Gen with 0 Pref Points
Return Montana and buy a commissioner tag in June....
In 3-4 years you'll be able to draw a few units that are currently taking 11 and there will be a unit or two that currently take 10 that you can't draw. One thing is certain, it'll cost more in 3-4.
Why not just auction off everything on an Ebay Like auction platform. Let actual supply and demand dictate the tag costs. The great tags would be stupid expensive and the garbage tags would be a few hundred bucks.
I've hunted Wyoming neary every year by having east coast friends I went to school with buy elk points and split with me for General Licenses. I've paid for their "SPECIAL" License Application and they've gotten a License for their Preference Point cost alone. I used to guide them, but now I can...
If the moon is full they can be up on their feet all night, but if a cow comes into heat at 8am, they aren't going to delay the breeding activities until night! It's also important to look at the actual Moon Rise and Set times. It the moon is setting at 11pm, it's not going to promote night...
Predictive analytics are very possible for most units and they'd be incredibly accurate........ you just couldn't show anyone until the draw was over or you'd skew the results and reduce your accuracy! I do it every year. It includes subscriptions to every service and listening to every...