NM Draw Apps Open 22

TLowell02

Active member
Joined
Jul 29, 2015
Messages
332
Location
Sedan, NM
I'll wait until March to submit my big game applications but submitted turkey and bear five minutes after they opened today. 🤞
 

NMGuy

Active member
Joined
Aug 12, 2017
Messages
186
Location
Roswell, NM
Gotta narrow down my deer and elk a little further before I send in my money. After the reports I heard from the local deer unit last season, I'm considering a move.
 

Valley1320

Well-known member
Joined
May 5, 2019
Messages
620
Location
East central NM
Gotta narrow down my deer and elk a little further before I send in my money. After the reports I heard from the local deer unit last season, I'm considering a move.
Idk what unit your talking about. But alot of the eastern units guys were throwing a fit this year it seemed like. I think alot of its due to way more cover, feed and water. Cuz my January bowhunt with the numbers I saw and as many good bucks I saw proved them all wrong. And I only hunted a total of like 5 days.. jus throwing that in the mix of thoughts😜
 

ImBillT

Well-known member
Joined
Oct 29, 2018
Messages
2,993
X2 on the above. I've struck out in NM 2 years in a row
For a 10% draw odds hunt, applicants will AVERAGE one hunt per ten years, BUT there is a 35% chance of applying ten consecutive years and NOT drawing even one time. Put another way, 35% of applicants who apply for a 10% odds hunt, ten years in a row, will not have drawn.

Yes there are easier to draw hunts than 10% in NM, but they’re getting fewer and fewer, and those hunts aren’t any better than they were when they had leftover tags every year.

I don’t know what you’re applying for, but NM has become a state where you should expect not to draw anything for quite a few years in a row. The highest draw odds rifle elk tag was 27% draw odds in 2020(going into 2021 which is the newest data goHunt has calculated). The odds of applying for that three times and not drawing any time are 39%. That is based on not knowing if you’re going to draw on any of those years. Since we already know that didn’t draw in years one or two, your odds of not drawing that this year are 73%. You could always try the Dec archery tag that used to be OTC.
 
Last edited:

David658

Active member
Joined
Oct 15, 2021
Messages
199
Location
Northern NM
For a 10% draw odds hunt, applicants will AVERAGE one hunt per ten years, BUT there is a 35% chance of applying ten consecutive years and NOT drawing even one time. Put another way, 35% of applicants who apply for a 10% odds hunt, ten years in a row, will not have drawn.

Yes there are easier to draw hunts than 10% in NM, but they’re getting fewer and fewer, and those hunts aren’t any better than they were when they had leftover tags every year.

I don’t know what you’re applying for, but NM has become a state where you should expect not to draw anything for quite a few years in a row. The highest draw odds rifle elk tag was 27% draw odds in 2020(going into 2021 which is the newest data goHunt has calculated). The odds of applying for that three times and not drawing any time are 39%. That is based on not knowing if you’re going to draw on any of those years. Since we already know that didn’t draw in years one or two, your odds of not drawing that this year are 73%. You could always try the Dec archery tag that used to be OTC.
RESIDENTS usually go years between draws. Too many tags to big landowners who turn around and sell them to outfitters. Now, technically, those landowner tags go to "residents", but the bulk of those tags go NR via the outfitter.
 
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